Market Commentary: Weak Seasonality Still in Play
The S&P 500 has pulled back almost 5% since July 31. This is not surprising considering historical data. Factoring in seasonality has worked well for investors over the last 18 months. We’ve pointed out how bear markets tend to end in October, especially in midterm election years, with …
Facts Vs Feelings Take 5 – Why We Aren’t Worried About $1 Trillion in Credit Card Debt
Why aren’t we worried about $1 trillion in credit card debt? In this episode, Carson Group’s Chief Market Strategist Ryan Detrick and VP, Global Macro Strategist Sonu Varghese peel back the layers behind the latest news headline. Highlights include: U.S. consumers have more credit card debt …
Why $1 Trillion in Credit Card Debt Isn’t a Bad Thing
Ryan Detrick, Chief Market Strategist “It’s not what you look at that matters, it’s what you see.” -Henry David Thoreau It finally happened. US consumers officially have more than $1 trillion in credit card debt, an all-time record. Not surprisingly, many claimed this was a sign the …
Market Commentary: Down for Two Consecutive Weeks
The S&P 500 fell for the second week in a row, but the losses were minor. Many of the formerly high-flying tech stocks sank hardest last week. The technology sector fell 3.0% on the week, but it is still up more than 33% for the year. Below the surface, however, energy stocks are roarin …
Facts Vs Feelings Take 5 – You’re Downgraded
You’re downgraded! U.S. debt was downgraded last week by Fitch – from AAA to AA+. This is the second time this has happened in U.S. history. How does this impact investors? Carson Group’s Chief Market Strategist Ryan Detrick and VP, Global Macro Strategist Sonu Varghese break down their tho …
Market Commentary: U.S. Debt Downgrade Should Have Minimal Impact
Rating agency Fitch downgraded the U.S. government’s longer-term credit rating to AA+ from AAA. This was the second downgrade in the nation’s history. The first came in August 2011 from S&P Global Ratings after a government standoff over the debt ceiling. The agency cited “the expected …
Facts Vs Feelings Take 5 – Just Like Everyone Expected
We’ve seen some incredibly strong economic data over the past week! Join Carson Group’s Chief Market Strategist Ryan Detrick and VP, Global Macro Strategist Sonu Varghese as they break down everything from the GDP to the stock market. Highlights include: · GDP grew well above expectations · …
Market Commentary: Stocks and the Economy Show Continued Strength
After a large reversal Thursday, stocks bounced back Friday, bolstered by the continued impressive performance of the economy (further details below). This has already been a historic year — the stock market experienced one of its best starts in 2023. The S&P 500 is up close to 20% for …
Facts Vs Feelings Take 5 – The Midyear Outlook
Carson Group’s Chief Market Strategist Ryan Detrick and VP, Global Macro Strategist Sonu Varghese provide their top takes on the state of the economy – and what to expect this quarter – in the latest episode of Facts vs. Feelings: Take Five. Hear what Ryan and Sonu share their expert opinio …
Market Commentary: The Dow’s on a Winning Streak
“However beautiful the strategy, you should occasionally look at the results.” — Winston Churchill How about that? As soon as we released our Mid-Year Outlook predicting the bull market to broaden out, we find the Dow Jones Industrial Index up nine days in a row.
WHITEPAPER
2024 Market Outlook Report
Will the bull market continue in 2024? What about a recession? What will the Fed do? We take a deep dive into our outlook for 2024 in Carson Investment Research’s Outlook ‘24: Seeing Eye to Eye.
